What are the chances of the Manali to Leh
road being open from 20th of November 2018 ??
Siva, the roads have already closed for the season. Even otherwise, never attempt this stretch after end september because it is always touch and go. Snowfall could cause the roads to close anytime and you could be stuck for the season till the roads reopen (unless you decide to leave behind your vehicle and flyout of Leh)